Posts in "Unemployment"

Marcos Portillo's picture
By Marcos Portillo at 5:28PM

The Costs and Incentives of the Labor Market

Today, we’re faced with continued high unemployment and slow economic growth. The unemployment rate dropped slightly to 8.6%, but considering the holiday season and influx of temporary workers this drop is only temporary not to mention that the real unemployment is much higher than 8.6% the government reports.

The problem with the high unemployment is that there is an abundance of labor but the demand for labor is still quite low. There are a few reasons for such a high and persistent unemployment rate. The cost of labor is just too high for employers. Not only has the government made low-skilled workers artificially more expensive but certain policies have contributed to additional costs that make employing people in general more expensive. Another contributing factor is that unemployment has been made more financially attractive to individuals causing them to have unreasonable expectations in their search for employment.  

If we break it down to the basic economic principles of supply and demand we can see that our nation has a surplus of labor due to a low demand for it. Demand is always a function of price. The higher the price, the lower the demand. These principles apply to the labor market just as much as any other industry.


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ndyer123's picture
By Nick Dyer at 7:34PM

The Jobs Through Growth Act

The Republican Study Committee (RSC) has drafted a bill called The Jobs Through Growth Act, H.R. 3400, which is supposed to significantly reduce the federal burden on businesses and encourage business owners to begin hiring again.  The RSC, led by Chairman Jim Jordan, has combined several pieces of legislation that relieve job producers by reducing personal & corporate income taxes, eliminates the death tax (which is essentially double taxation), cuts regulatory bloat by exempting small businesses, addresses energy issues and much more.  This bill would be an immediate boon to the economy by eliminating the government-driven uncertainty that our economy is facing.  (See the details of the bill below the jump.)

Most -- if not all -- of the elements of the bill would have an immediate positive impact on the economy.  The reduction of taxes allows individuals to decide how they would like to spend their money, rather than some incompetent member of the federal government.  Allowing foreign profits to repatriated at a lower rate will encourage investment and spending in the US rather than overseas.  The reductions of red tape could provide the biggest benefits for the economy.  The amount of money spent on complying with government regulations can now be spent on more employees or can be passed along to the consumer reducing prices across the board.  Another way prices could immediately be lowered is with the relief provided by the energy reform portions of the bill, if energy is cheaper, everything can be cheaper.

The only issues with the bill are that the RSC doesn’t go far enough in reducing taxes and there is no reduction of spending implemented into the bill.  If the bill is passed, the tax cuts are going to have to be matched by a cut in spending; otherwise the national debt goes up.  The bill should have addressed this by introducing real spending cuts in areas where the federal government has no place spending our hard-earned dollars.  


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Wes Messamore's picture
By Wesley Messamore at 7:32PM

The Unemployment Numbers Mean Nothing

unemployment lineBad analysis:

The Bureau of Labor Statistics‘ most recent unemployment figures are out along with all sorts of analysis from the deluded “See? The economy’s healing. Not very fast, but it’s healing! Chin up there, America,” to the more sober “No, the economy is not healing; people are just giving up on looking for jobs. The numbers say so.”

And they do. But let’s zoom out -- like way out, and ask just why so many commentators, even the most sober among them, are treating employment numbers like some kind of useful metric for measuring the health of the economy and deciding whether it’s “healing” or not? I mean, right– even if the employment rate were a good measure, the latest figures are still hardly encouraging, but sound economic analysis has to go so much deeper than that. As far as measuring the overall health of the economy goes, the unemployment numbers mean nothing.

Good analysis:

It’s a lot like what one commentator recently said about Black Friday sales, another stupid metric that the media and politicians obsess over as if it were some kind of fool-proof economic barometer:

‘You know the economy and stock market are in deep trouble when the Mainstream Media elevates one essentially meaningless metric to “The One Meaningful Statistic” and then trumpets it slavishly. One such meaningless metric is Black Friday.


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JohnMcKenna's picture
By John McKenna at 10:39AM

Unemployment at 9.1%, 117,000 Jobs Added

A day after the largest single-day drop since the recession ended, the economy got a brief moment of good news with the July jobs numbers. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the official unemployment numbers dropped to 9.1%, thanks in large part to 117,000 new jobs. Also, the May and June job numbers were revised upwards by almost double what the initial figures were for those months. This temporarily sparked a rise in futures this morning before stocks took a tumble earlier today.

The improvements helped industries across the board, with retail and health care jobs reporting the biggest increases, while the government sector shed 37,000 jobs as local, state and federal governments continue to try to get their fiscal houses in order.

However, the numbers are also due to the fact that some of the unemployed have stopped looking for work, which takes them out of the labor force, and thus the count of the "unemployed," which significantly lessens the impact of an otherwise not-depressing jobs report. Still, markets are showing signs of unease, and if yesterday's bloodbath is more than just a bad day, the numbers may not stay positive for much longer. Originally published at www.silverunderground.com.

JohnMcKenna's picture
By John McKenna at 5:16PM

Unemployment Hits 9.2%...Thanks Stimulus!

The employment numbers for June were released today, and unsurprisingly, they aren’t pretty. The unemployment rate rose to 9.2%, the highest it has been since last December, with only 18,000 new net jobs added last month. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, this figure shows that nearly 14.1 million active job-seeking Americans can’t find work, despite nearly 275,000 Americans choosing to leave the labor force to either go back to school or have just stopped looking.

The main reason behind the weak job numbers comes from the loss of nearly 39,000 government jobs at all levels, as federal, state, and local legislators are (finally) finding ways to shrink their budgets amidst record deficits. Private sector jobs actually grew by 57,000, which might be the only bright spot from an otherwise dismal month of June.

A potentially relieving piece of news in response to the jobs numbers could be the Federal Reserve’s reluctance to use the numbers to pursue another bond-buying program, especially since it just concluded its last one only a week ago, valued at nearly $600 billion. Called “quantitative easing,” it was intended to put more money into the system to stimulate the economy, but resulted in a devalued dollar and little change in economic growth.


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Bonnie Kristian's picture
By Bonnie Kristian at 5:55PM
Bonnie Kristian's picture
By Bonnie Kristian at 11:17AM

Prolonging a Recession for Dummies: Tax Less, Spend More, Print More

Yep, the deal which has been worked out appears to really be the worst of both worlds for the national debt:  lower taxes without lower spending and higher spending without higher taxes.  The bill is a "$900 billion proposal to extend tax cuts and unemployment insurance."  I certainly don't want higher taxes, but uh...does anyone in DC realize that getting less and spending more will not make the debt smaller?

Meanwhile, the Fed keeps printing:

Originally posted here.

Shaun Bowen's picture
By Shaun Bowen at 9:04PM

Gaming the System

Following the financial shock that hit in 2008, millions were laid off. While many blue collar jobs were lost, there were also many white collar highly paid positions terminated by companies. Whether through mergers or just to balance their budgets, companies got rid of many of their best-paid employees.  Like their blue collar counterparts, what was their first decision? Head to the unemployment office and get a check from the government.

According to the IRS, more than 3000 households that reported over $1 million dollars received unemployment benefits from taxpayers. Of course, since these people paid into the system they are fully within their rights to file for and, should their job loss be claimed as a lay off, collect their benefits despite their current income.

However, this situation clearly shows how programs like unemployment and direct payment welfare (awhile back, MTV followed millionaire rap artist Old Dirty Bastard as he cashed his continued welfare check), can be easily used by those who have no need for them at all -- at taxpayers' expense.

Barry Kuzay's picture
By Barry Kuzay at 7:06PM

The Recession is over! Really, it is! Now go buy stuff!

The recession is over, at least according to the official version of history as the National Bureau of Economic Research (a private nonprofit group, despite the name) wants to see it.  I think if they declare it just a few more times, that will make it happen.  Poof.

I am glad I read this article, though, because otherwise I would not have even known that this is only a post-war recession we're experiencing!  Luckily the experts are here to inform us:

The December 2007-to-June 2009 recession is two months longer than the two previous longest postwar recessions, in 1973-75 and 1981-82. Between 1945 and 2001, there have been 10 recessions that on average lasted 10 months, according to the NBER.

Notice how the article refers to the panel of experts that came to these conclusions, without naming any of the supposed experts. Not that it matters. The overlords have spoken. I'm just here to grovel and thank their boots for the good news.

Adam Fowler's picture
By Adam Fowler at 8:12PM

Government's Duty to Provide "Good" Jobs?

In honor of Labor Day, U.S. Secretary of Labor Hilda Solis came out with a nine-minute video touting the work the Obama administration and the Department of Labor have done on behalf of workers. Here is the video:

Most notable is a statement she makes at around 3:20 in the video claiming that the Department of Labor's mission is "to provide good and safe jobs for everyone." Now, let's first naturally assume the obvious that by "everyone" she did not intend to include small children.


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