Posts in "National debt"

Bonnie Kristian's picture
By Bonnie Kristian at 2:16PM

Not-So-Super Cuts

image

Following the failure of the Super Committee to reach an agreement, a total of $1.2 will be cut across the board (well, almost — congressional pensions, for instance will remain untouched) over the next decade.  This “works out to roughly $54.5 billion per year apiece for security functions and nonsecurity functions,” which sounds like a lot at first glance.  But it isn’t actually that much when you consider that we have a national debt of $15 trillion and a 2011 budget approaching $4 trillion with a deficit of nearly $1.5 trillion (yes, that’s more deficit in one year than will be cut in the next ten years combined). 

On an annual basis at current rates, this situation is analogous to borrowing $1,500 to spend $4,000 and then claiming that you’re responsible because you didn’t borrow $1,600 to spend $4,100.

Except in real life, there are 9 more zeros after each of those numbers.

Regardless, even if these “trigger cuts” do seem like a lot, there’s a solid chance they won’t ever happen:  Congress can just repeal the measure requiring them.  I’m guessing that’s a likely outcome — don’t you think?

Originally posted on my blog.

BenLevine16's picture
By Benjamin Levine at 12:11AM

Super Committee FAlL

Super Committe fails to cut $1.2 trillionThe Super Committee has now failed to reach a deal to cut a measley $1.2 trillion over 10 years.  Although this is obviously ridiculous, and we don't really need an explanation of that, it is always fun to hammer Congressional failures.

The CBO estimates that the government will spend $45.7 trillion in the next 10 years but will only bring in $39 trillion in revenue (what's another $6.7 trillion to our debt, anyway?).  How embarrassing is it, then, that the Super Committee could not cut $1.2 trillion from the projected $45.7 trillion in government spending?

Well, let's put it into perspective (in a very simplified manner).  Let's say there is a young couple that makes $150,000/year and over 10 years they will bring in $1.5 million together.  They've been known to borrow and spend more than they have (even they are fully aware of the problem), making their parents and family nervous for their future.  This trend continues and the couple is on their way to spend a little over $1.76 million over the next 10 years, which means they will accumulate a total debt of roughly $260,000.  Recognizing the fact that this is unsustainable, the parents of the young couple finally intervene and tell them to start cutting back on the excessive spending.  The couple then sits down and decides that they are willing to make a change.  They are going to cut $47,500 from their future spending and reduce their projected debt to $212,500.


Read more here
kerr.g's picture
By Greg Kerr at 3:33PM

The US National Debt Simplified

Someone at Reddit posted some information to simplify the national debt:

image

BCestrone's picture
By Brandon Cestrone at 12:42PM

S&P Downgrades the United States's Credit Rating to AA+

For the first time in history, the United States government lost its perfect AAA credit rating from S&P on Friday, August 5th, 2011. The decision was made because of the growing debt problem America faces — a problem that isn’t going away.

S&P states:

The downgrade reflects our opinion that the fiscal consolidation plan that Congress and the Administration recently agreed to falls short of what, in our view, would be necessary to stabilize the government's medium-term debt dynamics. 

U.S. Debt Graph

The recent downgrade will lead to higher borrowing cost for the United States, which could translate into higher interest rates for businesses and consumers. S&P has been threatening to downgrade the U.S. for months, but Washington has refused to take heed.

Other agencies, such as Moody’s Investors Service and Fitch Ratings, still rate the United States AAA, but have threatened to take action if Washington does not rein in their debt problem. Maybe this will be a wake-up call for Washington that recklessly spending trillions of dollars and kicking the fiscal can down the road isn't the perferable way of solving America's economic problems.

Read the full report here and here.

Bonnie Kristian's picture
By Bonnie Kristian at 12:13PM

We Can Always Print Money to Do That

This piece was originally published on my personal site here.

"The United States can pay any debt it has because we can always print money to do that. So there is zero probability of default." -- Alan Greenspan, August 7, 2011

Is Mr Greenspan the greatest troll alive?  Following this quote, we can only hope that's the case.

It's certainly true that we could just print more and more and MORE money to pay off the government's $14 trillion+ debt.  Actually, we wouldn't even need to physically print anything -- we'd just add a few zeros to some balance sheets here and there and then set up a some wire transfers to our various lenders.  Voila!  Problem solved.  Remind me again why we had that whole debate last week?

The difficulty here -- and presumably the reason why we haven't taken advantage of this ostensibly simple solution already -- is that this would cause massive overnight inflation, probably collapse the dollar, and generally wreak havoc on the world's economy.

See, whenever you just print huge quantities of money based on nothing, this results in devaluation, or inflation, of the unit of currency. The effect of the very policy Mr. Greenspan recommends may be clearly seen in the history of our money's value over the course of the last 100 years of the Federal Reserve's print-happy ways.  The dollar's worth has declined to less than five cents of what it was at the beginning of the 20th Century.


Read more here
JohnMcKenna's picture
By John McKenna at 9:47AM

What Does Debt Look Like?

In less than two weeks, America will hit the deadline for a deal to get done that would raise the debt ceiling, or run the risk of the country going into default (if you believe the default-or-nothing rhetoric that is). But default or not, we will still face a nearly $15 trillion debt that will be difficult to pay down, regardless of how big the "grand bargain" Washington is cooking up will be.

Did you know, though, that $15 trillion is mere peanuts compared to another barometer of our debt? You see, there is another measure, called "unfunded obligations," which is how much money the federal government needs to fund entitlements and other non-discresionary spending programs that it won't have in the future. The number is calculated based on demographic changes and potential future tax reciepts. The amount on that: $114 trillion.

To give you an idea on how much money that is, a website called wtfnoway.com divided our debt into $100 bills, and put the amount of money we owe into a visual presentation that truly captures how much we're going to owe if we don't make needed changes to the system soon.

KJ Herr's picture
By KJ Herr at 12:37PM

Congress should watch more Schoolhouse Rock

It would appear that Congess didn't watch enough Schoolhouse Rock as children:


Bonnie Kristian's picture
By Bonnie Kristian at 11:58AM
RyanE4Liberty's picture
By Ryan Ekvall at 10:18AM

Chris Matthews: Fearmonger

Chris Matthews likened the debt ceiling debate to the United States Civil War (the one where over 600,000 Americans died) on his program the other night. He then likened Tea Party members of Congress to kids in the back seat and called political bloggers "know-nothing cheerleaders."

But, umm, Chris Matthews...have you seen the polls? This Gallup Poll from July 7th shows a whopping majority (42%) of Americans oppose raising the debt ceiling. Only 22% thought Congress should raise it.

A new poll shows the gap narrowed significantly in the past two weeks, although the sample size is even smaller than the Gallup poll. At the same time, with fear mongering rants like Matthews', it's kind of easy to see why people might change their minds.

BCestrone's picture
By Brandon Cestrone at 12:39PM

Why Gold Prices Are Setting New Records

With gold prices nearly doubling in the past 3 years—recently surpassing $1500 an ounce—one might be wondering:  How high can it go? The Daily Reckoning believes gold prices still have  the potential to reach even higher numbers and are urging people to invest in precious metals sooner rather than later:

We don’t expect the gold price to soar because gold is such a great thing; we expect it to soar because the world’s major currencies are not such great things. A dollar bill looks good, only when you place it next to a euro or a yen. But all three look sickly when you place them next to a bar of gold.

Gold has a 3,000 year track record compared to the terrible paper trail of inflation by fiat currencies and central banks. The problem with the dollar is, as The Daily Reckoning states, “there’s too much credit and not enough faith.”

image

Even as Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s threaten to downgrade the United State’s credit rating, politicians in Washington seem to be ignoring the signs that spell out the end for the dollar. David Galland points to five signs that point to fiscal disaster for the United States if drastic cuts are not enacted very soon:

  1. Europe is becoming more fragile and desperate for bailouts.
  2. Politicians will not admit the scope of the debt problem and refuse to abdicate Keynesian economics.
  3. China’s faulty economy can set off large consequences for the United States.
  4. Japan is caving under their debt and nuclear problems.
  5. The Middle East is in chaos.

These signs warn of tough times ahead for future generations if the debt problem isn’t taken seriously. The government has steered the economy straight into an iceberg; only the market can effectively navigate a course towards prosperity.