Posts in "GDP"

JohnMcKenna's picture
By John McKenna at 12:22PM

US Debt Now at 100% of GDP

We all knew it was going to happen eventually, and now the moment has arrived. Just two days after the debt ceiling increase was signed into law, the United States' debt reached 100% of GDP, or how much the economy is annually worth. The debt over the last two days rose $238 billion to bring the total to $14.58 trillion, $50 billion more than the total value of the US economy in 2010. This makes America the newest member of the 100% debt club, joining fiscally periled nations like Italy, Belgium, and Greece, who have become symbols of fiscal incompetence since the worldwide economic crash began.

The last time the United States was this much in debt was 1947, but that was due to the massive spending brought on by World War II, which went away once the war ended and the bonds were paid off. This time, the debt has been the result of huge revenue losses and spending increases, which are not easily repaired. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Kentucky) said that the next time we have a debt ceiling debate -- which would probably be sometime in early 2013 -- it should be as "fierce" as this one.

It should be noted as well that while the ratings agency Moody's did not downgrade us this time, they stated that the goal should be to reduce the debt to 73% of GDP within the next 5 years to preserve the country's AAA rating, so there is an incentive to have another strong debate. However, maybe the next debate will yield solutions that match the level of rhetoric that both sides spent the better part of three months firing at each other (well, a man can dream can't he?).

Originally posted at www.silverunderground.com.

mcjordan's picture
By Mark Jordan at 12:18PM

Austerity measures: Increase taxes or decrease government spending?

Current discussion over raising the debt ceiling is all over the news, and I would probably not be adding much to the discussion if I predicted whether it will or will not be raised. I would be adding an equally marginal account towards the ramifications of the outcome if I tried to do so.

Instead, the point I hope is acknowledged as Congress moves forward (with or without agreed upon legislation), some austerity measures are all but inevitable. We likely face tough economic times ahead because we are at a point in which our borrowing and spending is no longer sustainable. But there are measures we can take to alleviate tough times to come, using sound, long-run policies.

 The debate over the type of austerity measures is likely as heated as the debate over the debt ceiling. Generally, there are two camps on this issue: raise taxes (T) (typically on the wealthier among us) or decrease government spending (G).

 The idea behind austerity measures is generally to alleviate the deficit when it has become unsustainable.


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Nick Leavens's picture
By Nick Leavens at 10:45PM

CBO BOMB: 'Deficits will cause debt to rise to unsupportable levels'...

Below is the text from the Congressional Budget Office website (which has been inaccessible due to apparent inability of government servers to present data efficiently).  The document details the importance of lowering federal debt by cutting spending or by increasing federal revenues (or both).  

Federal Debt and the Risk of a Fiscal Crisis
Over the past few years, U.S. government debt held by the public has grown rapidly—to the point that, compared with the total output of the economy, it is now higher than it has ever been except during the period around World War II. The recent increase in debt has been the result of three sets of factors: an imbalance between federal revenues and spending that predates the recession and the recent turmoil in financial markets, sharply lower revenues and elevated spending that derive directly from those economic conditions, and the costs of various federal policies implemented in response to the conditions.

More after the jump...


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Seth Mann's picture
By Seth Mann at 12:28PM
Bonnie Kristian's picture
By Bonnie Kristian at 6:39PM

Wealth Creation vs. Government Spending

Thanks to Norman Horn of the Libertarian Christians blog for this link to one of his older posts on the inverse relationship between government spending as a percentage of GDP and growth in GDP per year:


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Bonnie Kristian's picture
By Bonnie Kristian at 8:30AM