Posts in "Deficit"

Matt Ciepielowski's picture
By Matt Ciepielowski at 12:45PM

Surprise! Health Care Reform Will Add to Deficit

The Washington Post came out with a revelation today that should shock no one:

But the analysis also found that the law falls short of the president's twin goal of controlling runaway costs, raising projected spending by about 1 percent over 10 years. That increase could get bigger, since Medicare cuts in the law may be unrealistic and unsustainable, the report warned.

It's a worrisome assessment for Democrats.

Rest of the article here.

Peter Tariche's picture
By Peter Anthony Tariche at 10:31AM

Obama Signs Bill to Raise National Debt Limit

On Friday night President Barack Obama signed into law legislation which raised the national debt limit to $14.3 trillion.

From ABC News:

The new law also puts in place new budget rules to curb growing annual deficits. Known as "paygo" — for "pay as you go" — the rules require future spending increases or tax cuts to be paid for with tax increases or other spending cuts.

If the rules are broken, the White House budget office would force automatic cuts in programs like Medicare and farm subsidies. Most other benefit programs, including Medicaid, Social Security and food stamps, would be exempt.

Bonnie Kristian's picture
By Bonnie Kristian at 1:51PM

With government, "change" almost always means a change to more government.

And "bringing new ideas to Washington" means new ideas for how to spend your money.  Bush's budgets were horrific, of course, but Obama has definitely made things worse (particularly note that large increase in aggressive war -- er, defense -- spending):

image

Click on the image for a larger view.

Roy Antoun's picture
By Roy Antoun at 4:56PM

Deficit & Debt: Goodbye American Power

The United States has an interesting role in global markets. Since World War II, the US has entangled itself in superfluous alliances and Keynesian markets, engaging in the same illusory markets as its European counterparts. As Jihan discussed, we have recently learned that President Barack Obama’s proposed federal budget may put the United States' economic legitimacy in even greater risk than it has been before for several reasons. Primary, our deficit is running off “nearly 11 percent of the country’s entire economic output.” But as the NY Times has stated, most deficits are usually brought down during peacetime. However, with the way the United States has been handling foreign policy as of recent, any form of “peacetime” seems like an ocean away from any “hope.”

From NYT - Carrying the Budget


Read more here
Jihan Huq's picture
By Jihan Huq at 2:00PM

“How long can the world’s biggest borrower remain the world’s biggest power?”

reThat question was asked by Obama's Chief Economic Adviser, Lawrence H. Summers, one year ago.  It's a question worth asking, because America's skyrocketing deficits will eventually have a global political impact. This is a chilling wake up call for those who believe arrogantly that the U.S is immune to the bankruptcies of empires in the pages of our history books.

The coming year's projected deficit (not the national debt -- just this year's deficit) is about 11% of the country's economic output. Meanwhile, deficits are not anticipated to return to sustainable levels over the next decade but to increase by 2019 or 2020 by about 5% of the gross domestic product.


Read more here
Rachel Kania's picture
By Rachel Kania at 11:39PM

Health Care "Reform" = Higher Deficit, Inefficiency, and Control

According the the Congressional Budget Office, the health care "reform" bill will cost $848 billion and would cut the deficit by $130 billion over the next decade. This is ludicrous. Watch the video below to see just how irrational this mode of thinking is:


Bonnie Kristian's picture
By Bonnie Kristian at 7:15AM

Giant Budget Deficit Imperils Economic Recovery...Noooo, you think?

From Newser:

The federal deficit in the fiscal year that ended Sept. 30 was $1.4 trillion, lower than projected but still a record. At 10% of GDP, the figure is the largest since 1945, when the deficio lett was 21.5% of GDP. The figure made public today coincides with early rumblings about extending some features of last winter's $787 billion stimulus package, the New York Times reports.

"It was critical that we acted to bring the economy back from the brink earlier this year," said White House OMB director Peter Orszag. "The president recognizes that we need to put the nation back on a fiscally sustainable path."

So let me get this straight:  The deficit is huge, rightfully making us concerned that it's going to completely screw us over while trying to get out of this panic.  Nonetheless it was a good thing we spent huge amounts of money and created a deficit of this size.  However, the president thinks we should still be more fiscally responsible.  But we still might want to continue to spend more money like we have been. 

Basically, the conclusion seems to be that we're worried about the deficit but we're not and we don't think we should spend more but we do.  Well, at least we're getting our taxtdollars worth on the spin doctors they're hiring.


Read more here
Preston Mui's picture
By Preston Mui at 6:09PM

French Health Care Facing Cost Problems

We're not the only one facing growing health care costs. France's single-payer system has solvency troubles of its own:

The problem is that Assurance Maladie has been in the red since 1989. This year the annual shortfall is expected to reach €9.4 billion ($13.5 billion), and €15 billion in 2010, or roughly 10% of its budget.

Even if single-payer or other forms of government-run health care are better than free-market health care, it still wouldn't make sense to initiate such a costly (and insolvent) program when our deficit is $1.3 trillion.

Preston Mui's picture
By Preston Mui at 11:48AM

"It's Time to Make Some Tough Choices. Or We're Doomed."

President Obama has promised that the health care bill will be "deficit neutral." Regardless of whether you believe that or not (I don't), that's not going to be enough.

A few days ago, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released something called the "Long-Term Budget Outlook." According to the CBO, the following will happen if we don't change our ways:

  • Next year, the debt will be above 60% of GDP.
  • By 2023, the debt will exceed 100% of GDP
  • By 2076, the debt will be above 6.5 times GDP
  • "Starting in the 2060s, projected deficits become so large and unsustainable that CBO's textbook growth model cannot calculate their effects."

And that's being optimistic. This assumes that interest rates on government bonds remain low -- which they won't -- and that economic growth grows at historical levels -- which I doubt.

To which Leonard Burman says,

It's time to make some hard choices. Or we're doomed.

Somehow --  even in the face of all of this! -- we're looking at massive increases in entitlements and a continuation of foreign wars. If things keep going the way they are, I'm putting my money on "we're doomed."


Read more here
Bonnie Kristian's picture
By Bonnie Kristian at 5:22AM

AAAAaaahhhhhhh

I tried to think of another title, but that was pretty much my only response to this.  From Ron Paul Blog:

Obama has pledged to cut the deficit in half by the end of his term… Can anyone look at this graph and think he’ll actually do it?  By the way, it’s worth noting that the chart was made before another $.9 billion in deficit spending.


Read more here