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Reality Check: Let's Talk Strategy

Don Rasmussen
Oct 15, 2009 at 5:31 PM

dead elephantAs the recent Ron Paul/ Lindsey Graham blow up illustrates, there is a deep and genuine divide in the Republican Party.  While many would argue that this is a bad thing, I would only posit that's only true if we fail to prove the viability of our movement by winning elections.  We have right on our side, but it isn't worth a thing if, come election time, we cannot translate it into real political power.  The pressure for results is on us, not the Lindsey Grahams of the world.  They already control the RP and will until they are dislodged.

My concern is not one of philosophy or intensity, but rather strategy.  In my capacity as managing partner of R3VOLution Consultants ,  I have had the opportunity to evaluate a number of key races for Constitutional Republican candidates.  Most of them will lose; many will not make it out of their primaries.  This is not the cynic in me, but rather a careful understanding of electoral politics and history.  The reality is that over 90% of congress is re-elected every two years.  The incumbents that do lose are not the ones polling over 50% a year out. Nothing will make Lindsey Graham's argument faster than watching most of the high profile liberty candidates go down in flames and, as it stands right now, they will.

The function of electoral politics is to obtain political power and electoral politics ultimately hinges on only one thing, the ability to identify your voters and move them to the polls more effectively than your opponent.  Everything else that a campaign does from fund-raising to message dissemination ultimately must serve that end or you lose.  Rand Paul may succeed because, in addition to the financial support of movement activists, he also has name recognition and a natural base of support in his state as a result of his work with tax reform groups.  His father Ron wins elections because his work as a doctor touched almost every family in his district which gave him name recognition and a natural support base.  Without those fundamental elements, name recognition, an established constituency, and the ability to compete financially, Mr. Smith ain't getting to Washington because his opponent will deliver more voters to the polls.

That is why I have largely shifted my focus to smaller state and local races.  Not only do we need to put up wins to counter the Lindsey Graham narrative, we need to develop the support structure necessary to underpin future political success.  This cycle's city councilman is next cycle's state senator.  From that platform he has the political base, name recognition, and technical capacity to be competitive in a congressional race.  The Republican Party establishment has had 130 years to figure this out, we've had 1 (unless you include the Libertarian Party which has effectively engaged in the triumph of hope over experience for 35+ years and gotten exactly nowhere).

These days I spend my time talking about trash collection and zoning ordinances instead of the Federal Reserve and Iraq.  It may be a whole lot less sexy, but at the end of the day, it may be the only way to change the country.

Don,

Thanks, I concur. It would be very nice to win a number of the national races that we are supporting. And I believe that it is imperative we continue to commit our time, talent, and resources to these candidates. Helping them win where possible, while helping them spread the message of Liberty.

Simultaneously, we must focus on gaining political power in our own backyards. We must run Liberty candidates and take seats at all levels of government. There are many races where we can establish ourselves, School Boards, township commissioners, city council, tax collectors (ughh!), committee seats (local precinct and state), state assembly, etc...

Running for local office while supporting many liberty candidates, for liberty,

Rob

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This is definitely an interesting perspective, and one that I think our organization, and others with similar goals, need to take a very close look at.

Thank you for this post, and if you don't mind, I'd like to pass this perspective on to members of my local YAL chapter, as well as some other liberty-minded friends. Naturally, I'd give credit where credit is due.

Fawkes's picture

You make a very good point. How do we actually get people to the polls? Seriously. We don't ever really talk about this. But this seems to be one of the most important parts.

Do you guys ever teach this at conventions or meetings? I never have the ability to go to one of those.

I learned about RP after he dropped out and when I talked to one of leaders who did alot in Missouri, she said the campaign failed to do some really basic things and they had to start putting together lots of stuff. Things like call lists and voter records I think.

I wish I knew more specifics about how to run elections and it seems like the best time to learn. Where though?

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Check out the Leadership Institute's training programs: http://www.leadershipinstitute.org/training/subject.cfm?subject=2

Bonnie Kristian's picture

@Dimitri 

Precinct Leaders. 

Register in Republican in your local county (if that's the party we're using) and get to know the power of your town. After a year or so you might qualify to run and actually get elected to the county board where you actually have a vote in who represents the party in various elections. Imagine lots of Ron Paul constitutional/anarcho-capitalists holding those votes!

Dustin Reid's picture

Our Liberty candidates could use some more money!

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Thomas Kubica's picture